Wormy Pix Pick of the Week (1)

Search

Member
Joined
Nov 19, 2006
Messages
3,864
Tokens
Last season marked my 2nd worst POW record posting here @ the RX. Even my normally reliable Teasers had a losing record. Conf championship wk & SB thankfully ended my awful season on a high note. Just like golfing, no matter how bad you do on the course, you have to finish the 18th hole well to keep you coming back. I always look @ my previous season’s writeups to learn where my mistakes were & I didn’t make too many of them. Just a few balls bouncing the wrong way or atrocious play/coaching by the better team torpedoed so many of my POWs. That’s what makes capping the NFL so difficult. There are so many outside factors that can influence a gm that we just aren’t privy to.

Started this season well w/KC handling BAL in opener, however that aforementioned poor play/coaching showed up in Brazil w/both teams playing terrible, & Jordan Love somehow playing worse than Hurts (14 incompletions, 33 yds rushing, 2 INTs, 1 FL). I think both teams spent too much time @ the Copacabana the night before. Actually Rio is miles away from Sao Paulo, but you get the picture. My total thankfully pushed w/Likely’s toe helping me out.

ATL -3 ½ is starting a new chapter w/incoming HC Raheem Morris (LAR DC) & QB Cousins. W/a “D” coach coming in it’s no surprise that ATL picked up QB headhunter Matthew Judon & 4x 2nd team All-Pro S Justin Simmons. They join an already talented “D” w/Grady Jarrett returning from injury, CB AJ Terrell, S Bates & DT Onyemata. Morris is a good “D” mind, so how he deploys this underrated “D” will be key to any success in ‘24. Bringing in Cousins & drafting Penix Jr got the headlines, however ATL’s returning 5 on oline is also a big victory. RG Lindstrom was rated as the #1 RG in the NFL last season & Dalman was rated as the #2 C. McGary & Matthews solidify the ends & if LG Bergeron takes the next step, this could be the #1 oline in the league. On the other side, PIT has a big amount of questions on their oline & will likely need most of the yr to figure things out. Stalwart LG Seumalo will miss some time & rookie T Fautanu has been injured in preseason, which shuffles the oline around. C Frazier is a rookie & had to navigate 2 different QBs w/Wilson & Fields. This is all bad news going against a “D” ready to turn the page on a bad ’23 season. Even the starting QB is in question w/Wilson nursing a bad calf. Regardless of who starts, I feel Raheem will coach up his dline to maintain the pocket & force either QB to pass. Not much needs to be written about PIT’s “D” as they come in being the unquestioned strength of the team. TJ Watt will vie for DPOY & their front-7 will likely finish top-5. But w/ATL’s strong oline & Cousins used to being under pressure, I feel they can make hay w/a talented bunch of receivers, balanced also by stud RB Bijan Robinson (4.6 ypc w/awful QB play last yr). Former ATL HC Arthur Smith is PIT’s OC, so there’s some intel there for PIT to use. But Smith just doesn’t seem like a smart coach to me. He will have to juggle between his 2 QBs, w/a shaky oline, & a bare cupboard of weapons outside of Pickens. ATL’s trio of pass rushers (Judon/Jarrett/Onyemata) totaled 20 sacks last yr. Tomlin surprises me sometimes w/inspiring his team to perform above expectation, but ATL’s team is rejuvenated w/a new coaching staff & QB, & will be ready.

PIT 16
ATL 27
6 Units


GL to all & comments are most welcome.
 

Member
Joined
Nov 19, 2006
Messages
3,864
Tokens
Honorable Mentions:

1 Unit MIA -3 (bought ½ @ -120):
I know, what a surprise. If MIA is to have the season that they expect, they have to be able to handle JAX. JAX is a balanced team that’s well-coached. However I am still not convinced on Lawrence or his oline. I believe these teams are evenly matched in the trenches & secondary, however MIA separates obviously on “O” & have hm field. That should be enough to win by @ least a TD.

1 Unit TEN +3 ½: SO MUCH HYPE. The Caleb Williams & Bearsch hype-train is out of control. CHI’s new weapons on “O” are phenomenal & their “D” showed signs of life last last yr while TEN is in an obvious rebuild. Then why is CHI only giving 3 ½ @ hm? TEN made some quiet moves on both sides of the ball that make this team very balanced, esp in the trenches. TEN is going to give CHI all they can handle, & Caleb will show some growing pains.

2 Unit Wormy Teaser

CIN +5 ½
HOU +10
DET +8 ½
NYJ +17 ½
 

come strong or dont come at all
Joined
Nov 21, 2006
Messages
5,421
Tokens
Love dem picks especially ATL after reading the write up. Let’s get this. Thanks for the input as well
 

Member
Joined
Jun 14, 2006
Messages
52,262
Tokens
W/Pix......here's to continued success this weekend my friend.....
BOL with all your action.....
on Cinn., Det. and Jets with you...
May add Atl. as well......solid looking card......indy
 

Member
Joined
Oct 22, 2004
Messages
16,701
Tokens
Wormy, Good to see you back again for another year on the RX.BOL this season my friend and GL on your picks on Sunday !
 

Member
Joined
Nov 19, 2006
Messages
3,864
Tokens
Wormy, Good to see you back again for another year on the RX.BOL this season my friend and GL on your picks on Sunday !
Gravy Train, here we go again. Here's to a winning season for the both of us. :cheers:
Love dem picks especially ATL after reading the write up. Let’s get this. Thanks for the input as well
Well Cash, I sure hope we cash! As always capping is super easy when the players & coaches do what they're supposed to do!
W/Pix......here's to continued success this weekend my friend.....
BOL with all your action.....
on Cinn., Det. and Jets with you...
May add Atl. as well......solid looking card......indy
Let's get this Indy!! Let the good times roll.
 

Member
Joined
Dec 19, 2004
Messages
2,163
Tokens
Great to see you Wormy!! Here’s to a profitable season! Hate to say it, but agree with your MIA pick🥵
 

Member
Joined
Nov 19, 2006
Messages
3,864
Tokens
Great to see you Wormy!! Here’s to a profitable season! Hate to say it, but agree with your MIA pick🥵
Lol, yeah we're going h2h early, Jax! Hey, @ least 1 of us will win! This gm will go a long way for both team's season w/a win. Pretty big gm actually.

BOL my friend, always a pleasure.
Good luck Wormy!
Thanks TCG! Great to see you posting again.
 

Forum statistics

Threads
1,115,001
Messages
13,520,779
Members
100,212
Latest member
Don01
The RX is the sports betting industry's leading information portal for bonuses, picks, and sportsbook reviews. Find the best deals offered by a sportsbook in your state and browse our free picks section.FacebookTwitterInstagramContact Usforum@therx.com